Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
ISM Services PMI remains firmly in expansion, supporting upside for tech in risk-on traces
The market may extend gains if the services sector shows strength despite mixed data, with tech-focused leadership visible in breadth
09:00
Beige Book offers a broad view of economic conditions and can guide risk appetite
A constructive Beige Book tone could support a cautious rally, while a softer read may prompt a dip in risk assets
13:00

Economic Calendar (CT)

📅
07:15USADP Non-Farm Employment ChangeHigh
08:00USFOMC Member Barr SpeaksMed
08:45USFinal Services PMIMed
09:00USISM Services PMIHigh
09:00USTreasury Sec Bessent SpeaksMed
09:00USFactory Orders m/mMed
09:30USCrude Oil InventoriesMed
13:00USBeige BookMed

Key Levels — NQ

📐
LevelPriceType
Pivot30560Pivot
R130620Resistance
R230780Resistance
S130440Support
S230380Support
S330220Support
POC30500POC

Overnight Session

🌙
NQ Globex
30556.25
3231.00
ES Globex
7573.00
-50.75
VIX
16.23
0.46
10Y Yield
4.495
0.040
DXY
99.51
0.29
Crude
95.80
2.04

Market Context

📊
NDX implied volatility score (0–100). Computed from VXN level: VXN<=15 -> ~100 (calm); VXN>=30 -> ~0 (stress). Green = calm/risk-on, supports bullish bias. Red = stressed, bearish for tech. Amber = mid.
VXN24.29
Options put/call balance (0–100). Higher = more puts, more hedging/fear. Lower = complacency. Green = low hedging. Red = heavy protection. Amber = balanced.
Put-Call0.92
VIX futures curve shape (0–100). Higher = steeper contango, calmer outlook. Lower = flatter or backwardated, stress rising. Green = calm. Red = elevated hedging demand. Amber = neutral.
VIX Term Structure16.23
NDX leadership momentum score (0–100). Derived from semis (SMH) day change + NQ momentum. Green = semis confirming risk-on (mag-7 bid). Red = semis weakening (warning for NDX). Amber = mixed.
Tech Momentum70
Market breadth (0–100). Higher = broad participation, healthy rally. Lower = narrow leadership, rotation risk. Green = strong breadth. Red = weak breadth. Amber = mixed.
Breadth52

Session Playbook

🎯
Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry30540-30560
Stop30460
TP130620
TP230780
Pivot-based breakout with adequate buffer; TP targets align with R1/R2 while maintaining favorable risk/reward
Bear Case
OrderSell Stop
Entry30440-30460
Stop30580
TP130380
TP230220
S1 support test and fade of strength in a topping regime; targets align with S1/S2
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