Catalysts & Headlines (CT)

⚡
Semiconductor selling overwhelms rate relief
A falling 10Y has not stabilized chips, leaving NQ vulnerable to another test of the session low.
12:16
Presidential remarks can reset geopolitical risk
Comments on Iran, Hormuz, tariffs, or policy could jolt oil, yields, and index volatility.
13:50

Economic Calendar (CT)

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13:50USPresident Trump SpeaksMed

Key Levels — NQ

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LevelPriceType
R328763Resistance
R228520Resistance
R128351Resistance
POC28080POC
Pivot28180Pivot
S127939Support
S227750Support
S327520Support

Overnight Session

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NQ Globex
27999.75
-2653.75
ES Globex
7419.50
-28.00
VIX
19.49
0.91
10Y Yield
4.645
-0.034
DXY
101.48
0.01
Crude
82.75
-6.56

Market Context

📊
VXN is the Nasdaq-100 implied-volatility index (the Nasdaq VIX), from the live print. Higher VXN = more expected turbulence. Colour: green = calm (below ~20), amber = moderate, red = elevated (above ~26). Bar = stress level, longer = more fear.
VXN
Elevated, rising
Index options put/call balance. Heavy puts = hedging/fear; light puts = complacency. Colour: green = light hedging (constructive), amber = balanced, red = heavy protection (defensive). Bar = strength of the signal.
Put-Call
Defensive hedging elevated
Shape of the VIX futures curve (VIX9D vs 30-day VIX), computed from live data. Contango (front below spot) = calm; flat or inverted = near-term fear. Colour: green = calm contango, amber = flat, red = inverted/stress. Bar = stress level.
VIX Term Structure
Inverted, fear
Nasdaq leadership momentum (semis/SMH day change plus NQ trend). Colour: green = semis confirming the bid (mag-7 leading), amber = mixed, red = leadership weakening. Bar = strength of the signal.
Tech Momentum
Sharp downside pressure
Nasdaq-100 participation - how broad it is. Colour: green = broad/strong, amber = mixed, red = narrow/weak. Bar = strength of the signal.
Breadth
Weak, sellers dominate

Session Playbook

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Bull Case
OrderBuy Stop
Entry28240-28260
Stop28138
TP128384
TP228519
Acceptance above the failed-bounce zone would signal seller exhaustion and open a squeeze toward R1 and R2.
Bear Case
OrderSell Limit
Entry28192-28209
Stop28313
TP128066
TP227932
Rate relief is failing to lift semiconductors; rejection at the Pivot keeps the session low and downside extension in play.
TradingView
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